Race 10A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Cho-Cho Williams 4.2% 5.1% 5.1% 5.2% 7.0% 8.2% 7.4% 9.8% 10.4% 11.1% 11.3% 9.7% 3.9% 1.5%
Heather Kerns 7.8% 9.5% 8.5% 11.1% 10.2% 10.4% 8.8% 9.7% 7.1% 7.4% 5.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Annika VanderHorst 2.4% 3.7% 3.5% 4.3% 4.4% 6.0% 7.8% 8.3% 8.8% 10.4% 11.3% 12.8% 10.8% 5.5%
Torrey Chisari 12.2% 13.0% 11.6% 12.3% 10.7% 10.8% 8.9% 7.2% 5.7% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 2.5% 2.4% 3.5% 3.4% 3.4% 4.5% 5.2% 6.3% 7.3% 10.1% 11.4% 15.4% 15.8% 8.8%
Elizabeth Cutler 5.0% 5.5% 6.8% 6.2% 6.3% 7.0% 8.9% 9.2% 10.2% 10.7% 10.0% 7.8% 4.8% 1.9%
Eva Blauvelt 17.0% 15.8% 14.6% 12.8% 11.5% 8.6% 6.7% 5.0% 4.7% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 19.7% 16.0% 14.9% 13.2% 11.3% 9.2% 6.8% 3.5% 2.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Avery Canavan 6.0% 5.5% 6.6% 6.5% 8.0% 8.6% 8.8% 9.6% 11.0% 9.2% 9.2% 6.5% 3.9% 0.7%
J.J. Smith 12.4% 12.2% 11.8% 11.7% 11.5% 8.9% 9.8% 7.8% 6.2% 3.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.8% 5.2% 5.7% 6.2% 7.3% 8.1% 8.2% 9.4% 9.2% 9.3% 10.7% 8.1% 5.1% 1.8%
Laura Smith 3.5% 4.2% 4.7% 4.5% 5.1% 6.1% 7.6% 8.3% 8.6% 11.3% 10.5% 13.0% 8.7% 3.9%
Bracklinn Williams 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 2.9% 2.9% 4.2% 5.0% 6.6% 10.9% 23.5% 35.1%
Rose von Eckartsberg 0.8% 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 2.9% 3.8% 4.7% 6.9% 10.2% 21.1% 40.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.