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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+6.73vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.01+2.64vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.59+6.36vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.36vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.79+3.51vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.13+5.14vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.57+2.48vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo2.44-1.65vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85-3.68vs Predicted
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10Princeton University1.23+0.55vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University1.95-2.71vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.43-5.50vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.72-0.67vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology0.36-0.72vs Predicted
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15American University-2.08+1.60vs Predicted
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16William and Mary1.27-5.40vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.01-9.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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9.36Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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4.36University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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8.51Queen's University1.790.0%1st Place
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11.14Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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9.48George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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5.32Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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10.55Princeton University1.230.0%1st Place
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8.29Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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6.5Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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12.33Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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13.28Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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16.6American University-2.080.0%1st Place
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10.6William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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7.96Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Geary | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 15.6% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Jack Swikart | 18.0% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Legge | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| James Codega | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 1.0% |
| Hussain Patel | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Griffin Orr | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.5% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Eysenbach | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 0.5% |
| Paul Stevens | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 21.9% | 3.1% |
| John Handel | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 32.2% | 5.4% |
| Seth Yates | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 87.7% |
| Jonathan Conway | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 0.9% |
| Edward Titcomb | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.