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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.63+2.88vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.31+2.62vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.55+0.99vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.21vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.64+1.30vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+1.21vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.83+1.28vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.43-1.26vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.99-4.80vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.89-5.43vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.05-1.88vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.65-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Boston University3.630.2%1st Place
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4.62University of Vermont3.310.1%1st Place
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3.99Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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6.3Roger Williams University2.640.1%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Vermont1.830.0%1st Place
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6.74Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.2Harvard University2.990.1%1st Place
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5.57Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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10.12McGill University1.050.0%1st Place
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8.88University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Perkins | 18.9% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Aswad | 13.3% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 18.8% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charles Field | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% |
| Eric Schwarm | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Tevis Nichols | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 5.7% |
| Alden Winder | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 13.6% |
| Owen Richardson | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Colin Santangelo | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Emerson Krock | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 47.1% |
| Christopher Edwards | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 21.5% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.