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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+7.07vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.33+4.49vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy3.06+3.44vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.89+3.12vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+0.32vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.92-2.11vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93-0.05vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University3.26-2.32vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.45-3.58vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.39-4.68vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.56-6.01vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.64-4.17vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.53-2.80vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.71-4.18vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.76-3.16vs Predicted
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18Bates College-0.58-2.04vs Predicted
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19Amherst College-0.33-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.49Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.44Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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8.12Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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6.32Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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4.89Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.68Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.42Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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5.99Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.83Roger Williams University2.640.0%1st Place
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12.2Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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11.82University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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13.84University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
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15.96Bates College-0.580.0%1st Place
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15.68Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Milliken | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Burgess | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 14.1% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Simmons | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Schwarm | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 22.4% | 18.1% | 8.4% | 1.3% |
| Justin Marks | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 18.9% | 18.9% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| William Kresic | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 29.3% | 21.8% | 8.1% |
| Hunter Archibald | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 28.3% | 51.7% |
| Keaton Burns | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 13.0% | 34.3% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.