Race 13A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Eva Blauvelt 17.0% 15.8% 16.0% 12.8% 11.5% 9.3% 6.7% 5.2% 3.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 11.3% 12.5% 13.0% 11.9% 13.0% 10.5% 9.4% 7.1% 5.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.9% 5.6% 5.3% 5.9% 8.1% 8.4% 8.8% 11.1% 10.7% 12.8% 11.8% 5.5% 1.4%
J.J. Smith 12.9% 12.7% 11.2% 12.6% 12.0% 10.8% 9.6% 7.3% 5.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 20.8% 17.8% 15.5% 14.4% 10.2% 7.4% 5.2% 4.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Avery Canavan 6.5% 7.0% 7.8% 8.5% 8.3% 10.1% 9.6% 11.7% 10.1% 8.9% 8.0% 3.2% 0.5%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.2% 5.5% 6.6% 6.1% 7.5% 8.3% 9.6% 11.4% 12.7% 10.0% 10.2% 5.3% 1.7%
Kennedy Jones 2.5% 2.9% 2.8% 3.5% 3.6% 5.5% 5.7% 7.6% 11.2% 12.4% 17.5% 16.8% 7.9%
Heather Kerns 9.0% 9.8% 9.8% 10.5% 9.8% 10.7% 11.8% 9.5% 8.2% 5.5% 3.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Laura Smith 3.9% 2.9% 4.0% 5.1% 5.7% 6.6% 8.6% 8.3% 11.3% 14.9% 14.3% 10.7% 3.5%
Cho-Cho Williams 3.9% 5.3% 6.3% 6.4% 7.5% 8.7% 9.8% 10.3% 11.7% 12.8% 9.0% 6.8% 1.5%
Evelyn Walsh 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 2.8% 2.6% 3.8% 5.9% 9.2% 24.5% 45.1%
Rose von Eckartsberg 1.3% 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 3.0% 4.0% 6.7% 12.0% 24.4% 38.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.