Race 14A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
J.J. Smith 13.0% 12.8% 12.8% 11.6% 11.5% 11.8% 8.2% 8.0% 4.5% 3.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Eva Blauvelt 16.2% 16.1% 15.6% 14.0% 10.4% 9.6% 7.0% 5.6% 3.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 12.2% 12.6% 11.9% 12.6% 12.6% 10.4% 9.0% 7.5% 5.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.5% 5.1% 5.6% 7.1% 8.3% 7.3% 9.9% 10.8% 11.7% 12.0% 9.8% 5.4% 1.6%
Laura Smith 3.5% 4.2% 4.2% 4.9% 6.5% 6.8% 7.9% 9.3% 12.2% 12.2% 14.1% 10.8% 3.5%
Piper Holthus 19.8% 16.1% 16.0% 12.3% 12.0% 9.2% 7.5% 3.6% 1.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Avery Canavan 6.3% 7.1% 6.8% 7.8% 8.6% 9.6% 8.9% 10.9% 11.2% 10.8% 7.1% 4.0% 0.8%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.8% 5.2% 5.9% 7.2% 7.0% 8.5% 9.2% 10.1% 12.7% 11.6% 9.9% 5.6% 2.4%
Cho-Cho Williams 5.1% 5.7% 6.0% 5.7% 7.0% 8.3% 9.2% 10.8% 9.9% 12.7% 10.1% 7.3% 2.2%
Heather Kerns 9.5% 8.9% 10.5% 10.3% 9.7% 10.2% 11.2% 9.7% 8.5% 5.2% 3.9% 2.2% 0.1%
Kennedy Jones 2.1% 3.4% 2.5% 3.3% 2.8% 4.2% 6.3% 7.0% 10.4% 12.4% 18.1% 17.5% 10.0%
Evelyn Walsh 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 4.2% 6.3% 11.5% 21.0% 42.6%
Rose von Eckartsberg 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% 1.5% 2.0% 1.9% 3.0% 3.8% 4.5% 6.6% 11.8% 24.6% 36.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.