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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.39+5.21vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+5.85vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+3.22vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+2.57vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.64+3.69vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.89+2.21vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.33-1.45vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University3.26-2.29vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.53+2.28vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.56-5.21vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-3.60vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy3.06-5.58vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.92-9.17vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.71-4.18vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.76-3.17vs Predicted
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19Bates College-0.58-3.05vs Predicted
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20Amherst College-0.33-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.22Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.57Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.69Roger Williams University2.640.0%1st Place
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8.21Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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6.55Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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6.71Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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12.28Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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5.79Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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7.42Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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4.83Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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11.82University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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13.83University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
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15.95Bates College-0.580.0%1st Place
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15.66Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Spencer | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Simmons | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Schwarm | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Willerford | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 24.0% | 18.0% | 7.8% | 1.6% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Blake Burgess | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Marks | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 19.5% | 18.4% | 5.7% | 0.4% |
| William Kresic | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 13.4% | 28.7% | 22.9% | 7.9% |
| Hunter Archibald | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 10.0% | 28.1% | 51.6% |
| Keaton Burns | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 13.9% | 33.7% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.