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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+5.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+4.12vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.92+1.80vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.33+2.68vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.39+1.24vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.45vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.56-1.15vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy3.06-0.66vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.93-0.92vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.89-2.09vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.64-2.06vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University3.26-5.24vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.71-1.26vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.53-2.75vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.76-2.14vs Predicted
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19Bates College-0.58-3.04vs Predicted
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20Amherst College-0.33-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.12Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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4.8Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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6.68Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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5.85Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.34Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.91Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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8.94Roger Williams University2.640.0%1st Place
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6.76Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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11.74University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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12.25Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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13.86University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
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15.96Bates College-0.580.0%1st Place
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15.67Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 14.4% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Burgess | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Simmons | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eric Schwarm | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Marks | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 22.1% | 14.4% | 6.6% | 0.8% |
| Sean Willerford | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 13.1% | 20.9% | 20.8% | 8.3% | 0.8% |
| William Kresic | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 30.4% | 21.6% | 8.1% |
| Hunter Archibald | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 11.0% | 27.2% | 51.8% |
| Keaton Burns | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 12.9% | 34.1% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.