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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+3.06vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.16vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.89+2.66vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.99+1.38vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+2.21vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.64+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.31-2.52vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.83+0.27vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.43-2.29vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.63-6.24vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.05-0.85vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.65-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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5.66Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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5.38Harvard University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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6.32Roger Williams University2.640.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Vermont3.310.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Vermont1.830.0%1st Place
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6.71Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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3.76Boston University3.630.2%1st Place
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10.15McGill University1.050.0%1st Place
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8.85University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 18.1% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Charles Field | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 5.4% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 10.3% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Colin Santangelo | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Tevis Nichols | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 7.0% |
| Eric Schwarm | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Connor Aswad | 14.2% | 17.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Alden Winder | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 14.3% |
| Owen Richardson | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Daniel Perkins | 20.4% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emerson Krock | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 18.5% | 46.7% |
| Christopher Edwards | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 21.5% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.