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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.86+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.94vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13-1.38vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.90+2.43vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-1.41+2.60vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+0.98vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+0.43vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.69-1.91vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.84-2.82vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.72-1.67vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California-1.60-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of California at Berkeley0.8614.7%1st Place
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3.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.869.2%1st Place
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1.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1358.2%1st Place
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6.43University of California at San Diego-0.903.1%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Davis-1.412.0%1st Place
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6.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.0%1st Place
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7.43University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.8%1st Place
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6.09Arizona State University-0.693.4%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Berkeley-0.843.5%1st Place
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8.33Arizona State University-1.720.8%1st Place
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8.21University of Southern California-1.601.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carsten Zieger | 14.7% | 25.1% | 23.4% | 17.0% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 9.2% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 18.8% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Headington | 58.2% | 27.7% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 3.1% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 5.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 15.3% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 8.3% |
| Liam Williams | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.9% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Bianca Weber | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Moore | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 25.4% |
| Alex Tang | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.