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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+6.76vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+6.24vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+3.27vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.39+2.52vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.56+0.77vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy3.06+1.66vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.55-1.07vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.92-3.25vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.64+0.07vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.90-3.07vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University3.26-5.06vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.35-6.46vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.71-2.20vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.53-3.70vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.76-3.12vs Predicted
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18Bates College-0.58-2.05vs Predicted
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19Amherst College-0.33-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.27Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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5.77Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.66Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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5.93Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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4.75Salve Regina University3.920.2%1st Place
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9.07Roger Williams University2.640.0%1st Place
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7.93Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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6.94Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.54Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.8University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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12.3Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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13.88University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
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15.95Bates College-0.580.0%1st Place
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15.68Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Simmons | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Burgess | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 15.8% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Schwarm | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Marks | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 22.1% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 0.8% |
| Sean Willerford | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 14.0% | 20.6% | 21.2% | 8.3% | 0.8% |
| William Kresic | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 29.9% | 21.8% | 8.0% |
| Hunter Archibald | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 11.1% | 27.2% | 51.8% |
| Keaton Burns | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 13.1% | 34.2% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.