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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Maine Maritime Academy3.06+5.35vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University3.26+3.78vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+1.91vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93+3.06vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.45+0.07vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.92-2.05vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.39-1.54vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.81vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.90-1.74vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.64-2.20vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.56-5.93vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-7.44vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.71-3.17vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.76-2.06vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.53-4.86vs Predicted
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19Bates College-0.58-3.06vs Predicted
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20Amherst College-0.33-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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6.78Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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5.91Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.07Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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4.95Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.8Roger Williams University2.640.0%1st Place
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6.07Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.56Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.83University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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13.94University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
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12.14Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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15.94Bates College-0.580.0%1st Place
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15.69Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Burgess | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Simmons | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Schwarm | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 10.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Marks | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 21.3% | 16.2% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| William Kresic | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 30.2% | 22.8% | 7.8% |
| Sean Willerford | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 22.6% | 16.8% | 8.8% | 1.6% |
| Hunter Archibald | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 12.2% | 27.0% | 51.0% |
| Keaton Burns | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 13.4% | 34.0% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.