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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami3.25+5.41vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.84+4.91vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.93+3.47vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.93+2.20vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.94+1.19vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02+0.01vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.36-2.25vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58-0.49vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-2.68vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.85+0.55vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University2.71-3.73vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.11-2.29vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.01-7.13vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.52-2.88vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.38-4.17vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.96-7.02vs Predicted
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19Bates College-0.05-2.76vs Predicted
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20-0.49-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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7.91Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.2Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.19Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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5.75Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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8.51Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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11.55Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.27Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.71Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.87Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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12.12University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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12.83Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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16.24Bates College-0.050.0%1st Place
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16.65-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Howard | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Meleny | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| John McGlynn | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Humphrey | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 8.1% | 2.2% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 19.9% | 12.3% | 2.7% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Liana Blum | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 35.0% | 38.0% |
| Alex Dion | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 26.8% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.