← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.94+6.44vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.58+6.87vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.93+4.47vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University3.36+1.67vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.91+2.35vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.93+1.33vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.01-0.06vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.84-0.40vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island3.02-3.07vs Predicted
-
11University of Miami3.25-4.65vs Predicted
-
12University of Connecticut1.96-0.89vs Predicted
-
13Wesleyan University2.71-4.60vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire1.52-1.73vs Predicted
-
15Middlebury College1.85-3.92vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University2.11-5.64vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy1.38-4.03vs Predicted
-
19Bates College-0.05-2.79vs Predicted
-
20-0.49-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.44Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
-
8.87Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
7.47Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
-
5.67Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
-
7.35Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
7.33University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
-
6.94Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
7.6Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
-
6.93University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
6.35University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
-
11.11University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
-
8.4Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
-
12.27University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
-
11.08Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
-
10.36Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
-
12.97Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
-
16.21Bates College-0.050.0%1st Place
-
16.64-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Saldi | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Meleny | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Howard | 11.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rottier | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| John McGlynn | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Will Humphrey | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 8.4% | 2.3% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 20.0% | 10.9% | 4.3% |
| Liana Blum | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 35.0% | 37.4% |
| Alex Dion | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 27.4% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.