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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Miami3.25+4.19vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.93+4.31vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.96+7.01vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91+2.14vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.93+1.03vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+1.58vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University2.71-0.11vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.01-2.26vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.84-2.63vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-3.96vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.94-4.84vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.85-1.53vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.11-3.87vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.52-2.96vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.38-4.26vs Predicted
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18Bates College-0.05-1.87vs Predicted
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19-0.49-2.24vs Predicted
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20Bowdoin College2.58-11.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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7.31Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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11.01University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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8.58Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.89Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.74Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.37Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.16Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.47Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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10.13Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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12.04University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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12.74Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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16.13Bates College-0.050.0%1st Place
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16.76-0.490.0%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Howard | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Meleny | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.1% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| John McGlynn | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 7.0% | 1.1% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Will Humphrey | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.2% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 11.4% | 3.6% |
| Liana Blum | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 10.8% | 33.6% | 36.4% |
| Alex Dion | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 25.8% | 55.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.