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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.54+7.73vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.93+5.32vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.84+4.68vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University2.71+3.82vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.58+3.37vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+0.79vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.01-0.24vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.94-1.03vs Predicted
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9University of Miami3.25-3.13vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-3.56vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.93-4.76vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.85-1.52vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.11-4.93vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.96-5.50vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.52-4.72vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.38-5.13vs Predicted
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19Bates College-0.05-2.80vs Predicted
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20-0.49-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.73Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.32Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.68Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.82Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.97Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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11.48Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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10.07Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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12.28University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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12.87Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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16.2Bates College-0.050.0%1st Place
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16.62-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lippincott | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John McGlynn | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Howard | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Meleny | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Michael Rottier | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 1.5% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 11.6% | 3.9% |
| Liana Blum | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 34.9% | 37.5% |
| Alex Dion | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 26.5% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.