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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+6.01vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.84+5.64vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.94+4.26vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University2.71+3.83vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.25+0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.93+0.13vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01-1.27vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.93-1.99vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.54-1.50vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-3.57vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.11-1.61vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.58-4.26vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.38-1.39vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.85-4.09vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.52-4.67vs Predicted
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18Bates College-0.05-1.85vs Predicted
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19-0.49-2.23vs Predicted
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20University of Connecticut1.96-9.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.64Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.26Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.83Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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7.13University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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6.73Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.01Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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8.5Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.39Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.74Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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12.61Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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10.91Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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12.33University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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16.15Bates College-0.050.0%1st Place
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16.77-0.490.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John McGlynn | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| William Howard | 11.2% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Meleny | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew McHenry | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 19.9% | 12.1% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 0.9% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 10.2% | 2.4% |
| Liana Blum | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 11.4% | 33.6% | 36.5% |
| Alex Dion | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 26.9% | 55.1% |
| Michael Rottier | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.