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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.02+2.29vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-0.12+1.53vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.44-0.19vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-0.73+0.57vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-0.53-0.83vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-0.08-2.51vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-2.10-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Northwestern University-0.0219.5%1st Place
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3.53Indiana University-0.1215.6%1st Place
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2.81University of Illinois0.4425.6%1st Place
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4.57Western Michigan University-0.738.5%1st Place
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4.17Western Michigan University-0.5311.3%1st Place
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3.49University of Chicago-0.0816.9%1st Place
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6.13Purdue University-2.102.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Abbott | 19.5% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 3.1% |
| Juhi Desai | 15.6% | 17.3% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 3.6% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 25.6% | 22.8% | 20.2% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Jack Charlton | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 28.1% | 13.5% |
| Megan Rakoczy | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 20.9% | 9.0% |
| Holden Higgins | 16.9% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.7% |
| Connor Lawrence | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.