Race 5A

longfellow-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Daniel Perkins 18.8% 15.5% 17.1% 14.5% 10.5% 7.7% 6.3% 4.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.2%
Jeff Goodrich 8.0% 10.4% 10.4% 10.1% 10.3% 11.1% 11.0% 8.7% 9.3% 6.1% 3.2% 1.4%
Ryan Mullins 17.8% 15.7% 15.0% 13.1% 12.4% 10.4% 5.2% 5.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2%
Charles Field 4.4% 5.1% 6.3% 7.4% 8.6% 8.6% 10.5% 9.9% 11.1% 11.0% 11.6% 5.5%
Connor Aswad 13.1% 14.8% 14.0% 12.2% 9.9% 10.8% 9.4% 5.8% 4.6% 3.6% 1.5% 0.3%
Colin Santangelo 10.5% 10.5% 9.6% 10.7% 11.0% 11.2% 11.6% 9.6% 6.3% 5.5% 2.8% 0.7%
Eric Schwarm 7.8% 8.3% 8.1% 8.7% 10.3% 8.9% 10.0% 11.4% 9.8% 9.0% 5.5% 2.2%
Tevis Nichols 6.0% 5.8% 5.6% 7.5% 7.1% 7.8% 8.7% 11.3% 11.6% 12.1% 10.2% 6.3%
Emerson Krock 1.5% 1.1% 1.4% 2.0% 2.1% 2.5% 4.8% 5.0% 8.2% 11.3% 17.9% 42.2%
Owen Richardson 6.8% 5.6% 7.3% 7.2% 7.7% 10.1% 9.6% 10.1% 12.5% 9.7% 9.4% 4.0%
Alden Winder 3.1% 3.1% 2.7% 3.7% 6.5% 6.0% 6.3% 9.5% 9.8% 14.8% 19.0% 15.5%
Christopher Edwards 2.2% 4.1% 2.5% 2.9% 3.6% 4.9% 6.6% 8.1% 11.2% 14.3% 18.1% 21.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.