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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.02+2.74vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.02+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.44+0.09vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-0.12-0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.08-1.18vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-0.73-1.01vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-0.53-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Northwestern University-0.0216.1%1st Place
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3.7Purdue University0.0215.6%1st Place
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3.09University of Illinois0.4423.9%1st Place
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3.95Indiana University-0.1214.2%1st Place
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3.82University of Chicago-0.0815.6%1st Place
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4.99Western Michigan University-0.737.3%1st Place
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4.72Western Michigan University-0.537.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Abbott | 16.1% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 9.0% |
| Alex Day | 15.6% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 8.9% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 23.9% | 19.3% | 20.0% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Juhi Desai | 14.2% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.3% |
| Holden Higgins | 15.6% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 9.8% |
| Jack Charlton | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 32.8% |
| Megan Rakoczy | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.