Race 11B

rhode-island-state-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Kaylee Schwitzer 5.9% 4.7% 6.5% 5.2% 6.3% 6.5% 5.9% 5.9% 7.8% 7.8% 5.9% 7.3% 7.4% 6.6% 5.8% 3.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Kimberly Kaull 6.2% 7.1% 7.6% 8.7% 8.3% 6.4% 7.3% 9.1% 8.7% 6.1% 6.7% 4.5% 5.8% 4.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Chanel Miller 8.2% 7.8% 8.5% 8.2% 7.8% 7.6% 8.6% 8.5% 6.0% 6.2% 6.7% 6.2% 4.5% 2.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
William Howard 12.3% 11.9% 9.0% 9.7% 10.4% 7.1% 6.3% 7.9% 4.9% 5.6% 4.5% 3.2% 2.9% 2.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Saldi 8.3% 10.6% 6.5% 9.4% 7.2% 7.3% 6.2% 6.3% 8.0% 7.0% 5.6% 4.4% 4.7% 5.1% 1.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Gabriel Salk 8.0% 7.7% 7.7% 8.0% 9.1% 8.5% 7.3% 7.2% 6.6% 5.1% 6.1% 5.9% 5.0% 3.9% 1.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Robert Lippincott 5.5% 5.7% 6.5% 6.3% 4.4% 6.1% 7.2% 5.7% 6.9% 7.6% 7.9% 6.7% 7.6% 6.4% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.0%
John McGlynn 6.5% 7.5% 7.4% 6.9% 5.9% 7.9% 7.0% 6.4% 6.1% 7.6% 6.0% 7.7% 6.8% 4.3% 3.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Johanna Kincaid 8.3% 9.2% 8.3% 8.5% 8.7% 8.2% 7.3% 7.3% 7.8% 7.2% 5.1% 5.4% 3.2% 2.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew McHenry 2.0% 1.7% 2.0% 1.3% 2.6% 2.0% 2.8% 2.1% 3.2% 3.4% 5.0% 5.6% 6.3% 8.0% 13.6% 21.6% 13.9% 2.9%
Conor Lodge 8.2% 7.4% 6.7% 5.8% 8.0% 6.7% 7.8% 8.0% 6.0% 6.1% 7.0% 7.6% 5.2% 4.3% 3.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Ian Hollerbach 3.0% 3.6% 4.6% 3.0% 3.6% 4.8% 5.4% 4.1% 5.8% 7.0% 5.8% 5.9% 8.9% 10.9% 10.9% 8.8% 2.8% 1.1%
Andrew Meleny 9.0% 7.2% 9.0% 8.4% 7.1% 8.6% 6.0% 7.0% 6.9% 6.8% 6.9% 5.6% 3.9% 3.5% 2.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Nicholas Dragone 3.0% 2.9% 3.1% 2.8% 4.3% 4.8% 5.2% 5.0% 4.5% 5.0% 6.4% 6.8% 8.2% 9.5% 12.6% 10.0% 4.9% 1.0%
Michael Rottier 2.9% 2.4% 4.2% 4.1% 3.6% 3.2% 5.4% 4.9% 4.8% 4.9% 7.8% 7.8% 9.8% 9.2% 11.0% 9.4% 4.2% 0.4%
Will Humphrey 1.8% 2.0% 1.3% 2.9% 1.9% 3.1% 3.1% 3.0% 4.6% 4.4% 4.0% 7.4% 6.9% 11.1% 12.9% 17.1% 9.7% 2.8%
Liana Blum 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.3% 2.1% 1.1% 1.4% 3.1% 5.1% 9.2% 34.1% 37.7%
Alex Dion 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.9% 1.5% 1.9% 3.8% 6.4% 25.7% 53.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.