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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+6.00vs Predicted
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2University of Miami3.25+4.13vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.58+5.63vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.93+3.03vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy1.38+7.65vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.94+0.08vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.11+2.23vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.84-1.60vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.01-3.31vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-3.57vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54-3.26vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.93-5.58vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University2.71-6.23vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.85-4.10vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.52-4.72vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.96-7.18vs Predicted
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19Bates College-0.05-2.80vs Predicted
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20-0.49-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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8.63Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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7.03Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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12.65Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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7.08Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.23Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.4Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.69Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.74Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.77Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.9Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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12.28University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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16.2Bates College-0.050.0%1st Place
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16.62-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Howard | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 20.2% | 12.1% | 3.7% |
| Michael Saldi | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Meleny | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John McGlynn | 8.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 9.6% | 1.7% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Liana Blum | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 10.2% | 33.4% | 37.8% |
| Alex Dion | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 26.3% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.