Race 1A

saisa-maisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Collin Weston 6.4% 6.8% 10.7% 8.5% 9.7% 10.0% 11.3% 11.0% 10.1% 7.0% 5.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
Roy Shaw 21.9% 17.6% 15.3% 12.9% 11.4% 9.7% 4.8% 3.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Kimannee Simon 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 2.7% 4.6% 5.2% 6.6% 8.3% 14.6% 18.7% 20.0% 11.1%
Melany Johnson 12.4% 16.3% 14.6% 14.0% 11.6% 9.5% 8.3% 6.2% 4.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Grace Lucas 14.4% 14.8% 15.1% 13.7% 10.9% 10.4% 8.4% 6.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Tyler Kennedy 11.6% 10.5% 9.9% 14.6% 10.6% 12.8% 8.4% 8.6% 7.3% 3.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Russell Cramer 5.1% 7.9% 6.5% 6.1% 8.8% 7.4% 11.9% 11.7% 12.1% 11.7% 6.4% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Harrison Cabiness 7.7% 7.2% 6.7% 8.3% 9.4% 10.2% 9.7% 11.4% 11.2% 10.2% 4.7% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Jonathan Atwood 10.7% 9.6% 10.8% 11.2% 13.7% 11.1% 11.6% 8.7% 6.3% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Kaitlin Denny 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 2.6% 3.8% 7.8% 12.5% 16.9% 22.8% 26.1%
Samuel Hodges 1.8% 2.3% 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 5.7% 5.9% 7.7% 9.8% 14.8% 16.1% 13.3% 12.4% 3.7%
Andrew Battigaglia 3.4% 3.0% 4.0% 4.7% 4.8% 6.5% 8.3% 12.6% 13.4% 14.0% 12.0% 8.0% 4.1% 1.2%
Autumn Hoover 1.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 2.6% 2.1% 3.6% 3.6% 6.3% 10.1% 15.2% 19.7% 18.3% 13.5%
Ben Brightwell 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.2% 1.1% 0.8% 1.7% 1.4% 3.5% 5.2% 8.0% 12.8% 19.8% 43.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.