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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.41+2.74vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College2.88+2.78vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.14+1.32vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36+2.28vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20-0.68vs Predicted
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6Auburn University1.12+3.58vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.64+0.94vs Predicted
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8Clemson University2.34-1.71vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland2.09-1.91vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.60+0.78vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College0.49-0.07vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.11-0.34vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.35-0.65vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-10.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74College of Charleston3.410.2%1st Place
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4.78Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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4.32Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
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6.28Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.1%1st Place
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4.32College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.58Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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7.94Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
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6.29Clemson University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Maryland2.090.1%1st Place
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10.78Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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10.93Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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11.66George Washington University0.110.0%1st Place
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12.35The Citadel-0.350.0%1st Place
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4.94Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Shaw | 19.8% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 13.1% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 15.7% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Weston | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Hodges | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 4.1% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Russell Cramer | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 19.2% | 19.7% | 11.7% |
| Autumn Hoover | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 21.6% | 13.0% |
| Kaitlin Denny | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 21.0% | 26.1% |
| Ben Brightwell | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 21.1% | 43.9% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.