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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.27+0.77vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago0.04+1.05vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.07+1.68vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-0.84+0.35vs Predicted
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5Indiana University0.29-1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.17-1.12vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.22-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Northwestern University1.2751.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Chicago0.0416.4%1st Place
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4.68Purdue University-1.074.2%1st Place
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4.35Western Michigan University-0.847.1%1st Place
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3.16Indiana University0.2914.6%1st Place
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4.88University of Illinois-1.174.7%1st Place
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6.11Western Michigan University-2.221.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Weinstein | 51.1% | 28.8% | 13.9% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carlos Sole | 16.4% | 23.2% | 24.1% | 19.2% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 4.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 23.8% | 23.7% | 12.9% |
| William Moran | 7.1% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 22.1% | 20.2% | 9.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 14.6% | 20.9% | 25.6% | 19.7% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Georgios Akkogiounoglou | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 21.1% | 26.6% | 16.2% |
| Caleb Prugh | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 17.5% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.