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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+3.18vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83+2.92vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College2.88+1.91vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.14+0.39vs Predicted
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5Clemson University2.34+1.47vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.41-2.20vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36-0.93vs Predicted
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8Auburn University1.12+1.37vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.64-0.73vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College0.49+1.00vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland2.09-3.89vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.11-0.27vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.18-0.89vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.60-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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4.92Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.1%1st Place
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4.91Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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4.39Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.47Clemson University2.340.1%1st Place
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3.8College of Charleston3.410.2%1st Place
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6.07Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.1%1st Place
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9.37Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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8.27Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
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11.0Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Maryland2.090.1%1st Place
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11.73George Washington University0.110.0%1st Place
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12.11The Citadel-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.65Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 15.6% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 14.1% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Roy Shaw | 18.9% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Weston | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Hodges | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 4.5% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Autumn Hoover | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 16.5% |
| Russell Cramer | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlin Denny | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 22.9% | 27.9% |
| Donald Parker | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 21.5% | 39.1% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 21.4% | 16.9% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.