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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.16+1.75vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.29+1.07vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-0.84+1.34vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.04-1.02vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.07-0.37vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-0.74-1.85vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.22-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Northwestern University0.1627.4%1st Place
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3.07Indiana University0.2920.3%1st Place
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4.34Western Michigan University-0.849.3%1st Place
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2.98University of Chicago0.0422.8%1st Place
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4.63Purdue University-1.077.8%1st Place
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4.15University of Illinois-0.7410.2%1st Place
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6.09Western Michigan University-2.222.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Bray | 27.4% | 22.9% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 20.3% | 21.0% | 21.1% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| William Moran | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 20.6% | 21.8% | 10.0% |
| Carlos Sole | 22.8% | 22.0% | 19.2% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 26.2% | 14.7% |
| Logan Hoang | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 19.2% | 8.2% |
| Caleb Prugh | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 62.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.