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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Collin Weston 6.6% 7.9% 8.4% 8.5% 9.9% 10.3% 10.7% 12.3% 9.2% 8.5% 4.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Tyler Kennedy 12.2% 13.1% 13.1% 11.0% 11.3% 10.7% 10.9% 8.1% 4.5% 2.9% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Battigaglia 3.8% 4.0% 3.3% 5.8% 6.1% 6.6% 6.4% 10.9% 11.9% 14.8% 12.8% 8.9% 3.4% 1.3%
Melany Johnson 14.3% 14.7% 11.9% 14.8% 12.0% 10.1% 8.0% 6.6% 5.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Atwood 9.7% 9.7% 12.9% 11.9% 11.8% 11.9% 10.7% 7.2% 7.4% 4.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Roy Shaw 19.3% 16.6% 16.4% 12.5% 10.7% 7.8% 7.1% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Lucas 16.8% 17.3% 14.9% 11.0% 11.5% 11.4% 7.0% 5.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kimannee Simon 1.1% 1.2% 2.6% 1.4% 2.8% 2.4% 3.2% 4.8% 6.9% 9.7% 15.4% 15.8% 18.9% 13.8%
Samuel Hodges 2.7% 1.5% 2.4% 2.3% 2.8% 4.3% 5.4% 7.2% 10.2% 14.9% 17.8% 15.0% 9.8% 3.7%
Russell Cramer 4.3% 5.8% 4.9% 7.1% 7.2% 10.6% 11.2% 9.7% 14.8% 12.1% 6.9% 3.4% 1.6% 0.4%
Harrison Cabiness 6.5% 6.1% 7.2% 9.6% 9.7% 8.9% 12.4% 12.7% 10.2% 7.9% 5.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Kaitlin Denny 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.5% 4.6% 6.3% 10.1% 18.9% 22.3% 26.9%
Autumn Hoover 1.6% 0.9% 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 2.1% 2.9% 4.1% 6.7% 9.8% 14.0% 19.0% 18.8% 15.3%
Donald Parker 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 1.9% 2.8% 3.1% 5.1% 9.4% 11.5% 23.2% 38.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.