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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36+5.23vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College2.88+2.78vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.64+5.12vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.14+0.40vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83+0.17vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.41-2.15vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20-2.98vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.60+2.63vs Predicted
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9Auburn University1.12+0.53vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland2.09-2.88vs Predicted
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11Clemson University2.34-4.59vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.11-0.30vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College0.49-2.12vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.18-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.1%1st Place
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4.78Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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8.12Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
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4.4Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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5.17Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.1%1st Place
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3.85College of Charleston3.410.2%1st Place
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4.02College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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10.63Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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9.53Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
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6.41Clemson University2.340.1%1st Place
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11.7George Washington University0.110.0%1st Place
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10.88Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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12.15The Citadel-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Weston | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 14.3% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Roy Shaw | 19.3% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 16.8% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 13.8% |
| Samuel Hodges | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 3.7% |
| Russell Cramer | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlin Denny | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 18.9% | 22.3% | 26.9% |
| Autumn Hoover | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 19.0% | 18.8% | 15.3% |
| Donald Parker | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 23.2% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.