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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.16+1.73vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-0.84+2.44vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.29+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-0.74+0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.04-2.04vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.07-1.37vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.22-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Northwestern University0.1627.3%1st Place
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4.44Western Michigan University-0.848.6%1st Place
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3.06Indiana University0.2921.3%1st Place
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4.13University of Illinois-0.749.6%1st Place
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2.96University of Chicago0.0422.7%1st Place
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4.63Purdue University-1.077.9%1st Place
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6.06Western Michigan University-2.222.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Bray | 27.3% | 23.9% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| William Moran | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 23.2% | 12.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 21.3% | 20.3% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Logan Hoang | 9.6% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 20.8% | 18.9% | 7.6% |
| Carlos Sole | 22.7% | 21.4% | 21.3% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 26.3% | 14.6% |
| Caleb Prugh | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.