Race 5A

saisa-maisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Roy Shaw 20.7% 18.9% 16.2% 12.2% 8.5% 9.4% 6.1% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Lucas 17.6% 15.7% 13.6% 13.3% 13.3% 9.6% 6.8% 5.3% 2.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Atwood 11.1% 11.8% 11.6% 10.0% 12.0% 11.6% 9.9% 9.3% 7.1% 3.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Tyler Kennedy 10.3% 11.8% 13.1% 12.7% 10.6% 10.5% 10.1% 8.1% 6.1% 4.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Melany Johnson 11.9% 15.5% 14.2% 14.8% 11.0% 9.9% 9.1% 7.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Harrison Cabiness 7.2% 5.2% 7.3% 8.7% 9.3% 12.2% 10.5% 10.8% 12.2% 7.8% 5.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Samuel Hodges 2.3% 2.1% 2.6% 3.4% 4.5% 4.8% 6.5% 7.4% 8.1% 15.2% 16.9% 14.5% 8.7% 3.0%
Autumn Hoover 1.3% 0.8% 2.3% 2.0% 2.0% 2.6% 3.0% 4.6% 6.0% 8.7% 15.1% 17.1% 20.1% 14.4%
Collin Weston 6.9% 6.3% 6.8% 8.3% 10.4% 10.2% 12.9% 10.8% 11.4% 7.5% 5.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Kimannee Simon 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 1.9% 1.4% 1.9% 3.0% 4.5% 6.4% 11.6% 14.8% 19.8% 20.0% 10.8%
Kaitlin Denny 0.4% 1.1% 0.7% 1.5% 0.6% 2.0% 1.7% 2.2% 4.3% 7.8% 9.6% 18.7% 23.4% 26.0%
Andrew Battigaglia 3.2% 2.6% 4.8% 3.5% 6.3% 6.0% 8.4% 12.1% 14.3% 13.9% 12.0% 7.6% 3.9% 1.4%
Russell Cramer 5.7% 6.2% 4.8% 7.3% 9.4% 8.4% 10.6% 11.4% 13.4% 10.6% 7.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.4%
Ben Brightwell 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 2.1% 2.8% 5.5% 8.7% 11.3% 20.8% 43.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.