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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.27+0.75vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.29+1.11vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago0.04+0.06vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.07+0.60vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-0.84-0.70vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.22-0.05vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.55-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Northwestern University1.2752.3%1st Place
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3.11Indiana University0.2916.4%1st Place
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3.06University of Chicago0.0415.1%1st Place
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4.6Purdue University-1.075.1%1st Place
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4.3Western Michigan University-0.845.6%1st Place
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5.95Western Michigan University-2.221.8%1st Place
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5.23University of Illinois-1.553.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Weinstein | 52.3% | 28.7% | 12.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 16.4% | 21.4% | 22.6% | 21.3% | 11.9% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Carlos Sole | 15.1% | 23.6% | 24.8% | 19.0% | 12.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 5.1% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 23.8% | 22.1% | 11.8% |
| William Moran | 5.6% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 19.0% | 22.5% | 18.1% | 8.2% |
| Caleb Prugh | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 18.5% | 54.0% |
| Sebastien Welters | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 31.8% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.