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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.27+0.72vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.29+1.09vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago0.04+0.10vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.07+0.58vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-0.84-0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.55-0.84vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.22-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Northwestern University1.2752.3%1st Place
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3.09Indiana University0.2914.9%1st Place
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3.1University of Chicago0.0415.6%1st Place
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4.58Purdue University-1.075.5%1st Place
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4.33Western Michigan University-0.846.5%1st Place
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5.16University of Illinois-1.553.2%1st Place
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6.01Western Michigan University-2.221.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Weinstein | 52.3% | 29.8% | 12.4% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 14.9% | 21.4% | 26.6% | 19.5% | 12.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Carlos Sole | 15.6% | 21.6% | 25.1% | 20.3% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 5.5% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 22.2% | 22.6% | 12.0% |
| William Moran | 6.5% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 19.4% | 24.8% | 18.4% | 8.1% |
| Sebastien Welters | 3.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 30.9% | 22.1% |
| Caleb Prugh | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 18.8% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.