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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology1.64+7.15vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+2.02vs Predicted
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3Clemson University2.34+3.34vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.41-0.22vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College2.88+0.03vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-0.83vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36-0.92vs Predicted
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8Auburn University1.12+1.39vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland2.09-1.96vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.14-5.62vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.60-0.23vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College0.49-1.08vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-0.35-1.63vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.11-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
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4.02College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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6.34Clemson University2.340.1%1st Place
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3.78College of Charleston3.410.2%1st Place
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5.03Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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5.17Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.1%1st Place
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6.08Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.1%1st Place
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9.39Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Maryland2.090.1%1st Place
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4.38Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.77Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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10.92Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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12.37The Citadel-0.350.0%1st Place
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11.57George Washington University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Battigaglia | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 17.4% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Roy Shaw | 18.2% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 11.6% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Weston | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Hodges | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 10.0% | 4.3% |
| Russell Cramer | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 13.7% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 11.2% |
| Autumn Hoover | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 20.5% | 17.0% | 14.4% |
| Ben Brightwell | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 45.5% |
| Kaitlin Denny | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 26.4% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.