← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.76+6.72vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.52+6.36vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.28+2.17vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.84+6.04vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.25+4.39vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University0.91+5.07vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.33+1.98vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.06-1.89vs Predicted
-
9Brown University0.41+4.56vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.43+3.01vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University0.80+0.83vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.34-2.97vs Predicted
-
13Brown University0.75-1.40vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-2.55vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island0.55-2.15vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island0.93-5.13vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island1.20-7.58vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07-7.65vs Predicted
-
19Brown University-0.27-3.10vs Predicted
-
20U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.40-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.72Brown University1.768.7%1st Place
-
8.36Roger Williams University1.527.4%1st Place
-
5.17Brown University2.2815.0%1st Place
-
10.04Roger Williams University1.845.1%1st Place
-
9.39Tufts University1.255.5%1st Place
-
11.07Roger Williams University0.913.8%1st Place
-
8.98University of Rhode Island1.335.0%1st Place
-
6.11Tufts University2.0611.8%1st Place
-
13.56Brown University0.411.9%1st Place
-
13.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.432.8%1st Place
-
11.83Tufts University0.803.0%1st Place
-
9.03Tufts University1.344.6%1st Place
-
11.6Brown University0.753.2%1st Place
-
11.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.782.9%1st Place
-
12.85University of Rhode Island0.551.9%1st Place
-
10.87University of Rhode Island0.934.3%1st Place
-
9.42University of Rhode Island1.205.2%1st Place
-
10.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.074.7%1st Place
-
15.9Brown University-0.270.9%1st Place
-
13.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.402.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Brock | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Bo Angus | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Noah Stapleton | 15.0% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Crue Ziskind | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Parker Moore | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Zachary Severson | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Pearse Dowd | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.9% |
| Madeline Murphy | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% |
| Grant Schmidt | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Walter McFarland | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Emery Diemar | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Joey Richardson | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Jaxon Hottinger | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% |
| Leonardo Burnham | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Max Sigel | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| David Vinogradov | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Dominic Ciccimaro | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 33.4% |
| Peter Judge | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.