Race 6A

longfellow-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Daniel Perkins 19.6% 17.0% 14.7% 14.0% 11.5% 7.6% 5.5% 4.6% 2.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Eric Schwarm 5.9% 8.3% 9.7% 7.4% 8.4% 9.8% 12.0% 10.8% 9.9% 9.3% 6.0% 2.5%
Ryan Mullins 17.8% 15.3% 16.2% 10.8% 13.4% 9.4% 7.8% 4.4% 2.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Charles Field 4.1% 5.7% 5.1% 7.6% 8.7% 7.2% 10.0% 10.7% 13.4% 11.1% 10.6% 5.8%
Jeff Goodrich 8.5% 10.6% 9.7% 11.2% 9.6% 8.8% 11.4% 9.8% 8.0% 6.4% 4.4% 1.6%
Connor Aswad 14.7% 13.2% 13.5% 12.4% 11.6% 9.1% 10.3% 5.9% 4.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Colin Santangelo 11.5% 11.2% 11.0% 10.8% 9.2% 11.9% 9.3% 8.7% 7.2% 5.8% 2.5% 0.9%
Emerson Krock 1.2% 1.3% 1.9% 2.9% 3.6% 3.8% 3.0% 5.0% 7.5% 9.0% 17.0% 43.8%
Tevis Nichols 4.9% 4.2% 6.5% 8.0% 7.8% 11.1% 9.2% 9.7% 11.8% 12.1% 9.7% 5.0%
Owen Richardson 6.7% 6.2% 6.7% 7.2% 7.2% 10.0% 9.7% 11.6% 11.0% 11.5% 7.6% 4.6%
Christopher Edwards 2.3% 2.7% 2.2% 3.9% 4.5% 5.6% 5.6% 8.3% 9.0% 14.2% 21.7% 20.0%
Alden Winder 2.8% 4.3% 2.8% 3.8% 4.5% 5.7% 6.2% 10.5% 13.0% 13.3% 17.8% 15.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.