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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13+0.65vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.86+1.13vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-0.69+2.96vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.90+1.49vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+1.33vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.84-1.90vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California-2.24+0.15vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.72-1.92vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.41-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1357.1%1st Place
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3.13University of California at Berkeley0.8616.0%1st Place
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5.96Arizona State University-0.693.4%1st Place
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3.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.869.8%1st Place
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6.49University of California at San Diego-0.902.1%1st Place
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7.33University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.6%1st Place
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6.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.6%1st Place
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6.1University of California at Berkeley-0.843.4%1st Place
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9.15University of Southern California-2.241.1%1st Place
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8.08Arizona State University-1.721.2%1st Place
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7.42University of California at Davis-1.411.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Headington | 57.1% | 26.7% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 16.0% | 24.8% | 23.1% | 17.2% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 3.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Blake Roberts | 9.8% | 16.7% | 21.5% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Liam Williams | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 10.2% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% |
| Bianca Weber | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
| Maximilian Miesen | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 17.9% | 43.1% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 20.2% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.