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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+2.99vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36+3.88vs Predicted
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33.41+0.54vs Predicted
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4Clemson University2.34+2.13vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College2.88-0.13vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-1.04vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.64+0.65vs Predicted
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8Auburn University1.12+1.06vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.60+1.46vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College0.49+0.73vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland0.68-0.73vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.11-0.54vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-0.18-2.12vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.14-10.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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5.88Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.1%1st Place
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3.543.410.2%1st Place
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6.13Clemson University2.340.1%1st Place
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4.87Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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4.96Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.1%1st Place
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7.65Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
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9.06Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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10.46Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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10.73Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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11.46George Washington University0.110.0%1st Place
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11.88The Citadel-0.180.0%1st Place
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4.12Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 16.7% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Weston | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Roy Shaw | 22.3% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Hodges | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 10.5% |
| Autumn Hoover | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 15.0% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 9.3% |
| Kaitlin Denny | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 25.6% |
| Donald Parker | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 20.7% | 35.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 16.6% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.