← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College3.14+3.12vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.20+1.91vs Predicted
-
3Ocean County College2.88+1.73vs Predicted
-
4Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36+2.03vs Predicted
-
53.41-1.33vs Predicted
-
6Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-1.04vs Predicted
-
7Georgia Institute of Technology1.64+0.61vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University2.34-1.96vs Predicted
-
9University of Maryland0.68+1.24vs Predicted
-
10Hampton University0.60+0.52vs Predicted
-
11Auburn University1.12-1.78vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University0.11-0.54vs Predicted
-
13Ocean County College0.49-2.44vs Predicted
-
15The Citadel-0.18-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.12Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
-
3.91College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
-
4.73Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
-
6.03Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.1%1st Place
-
3.673.410.2%1st Place
-
4.96Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.1%1st Place
-
7.61Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
-
6.04Clemson University2.340.1%1st Place
-
10.24University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
-
10.52Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
-
9.22Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
-
11.46George Washington University0.110.0%1st Place
-
10.56Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
-
11.92The Citadel-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 16.0% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 18.2% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 13.0% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Collin Weston | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Roy Shaw | 17.0% | 20.4% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 8.1% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 12.6% |
| Samuel Hodges | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
| Kaitlin Denny | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 25.2% |
| Autumn Hoover | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 13.4% |
| Donald Parker | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 19.9% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.