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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.99+7.62vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+1.81vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.60+4.18vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.34vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.27vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.10+0.68vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.49+4.05vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.69+1.56vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.09-3.43vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-2.35vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.51-3.23vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.52-0.08vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.04-7.24vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.13-1.70vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-6.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62University of Rhode Island0.994.8%1st Place
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3.81Yale University2.7121.1%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College1.606.1%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.5%1st Place
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6.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.2%1st Place
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6.68Harvard University2.106.9%1st Place
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11.05Roger Williams University0.491.6%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University0.693.8%1st Place
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5.57Boston College2.0911.7%1st Place
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7.65Northeastern University1.225.8%1st Place
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7.77Bowdoin College1.515.7%1st Place
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11.92Connecticut College0.521.7%1st Place
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5.76Brown University2.049.4%1st Place
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12.3University of Vermont-0.131.1%1st Place
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8.53Boston University1.144.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.1% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 16.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 21.4% | 26.4% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 35.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.