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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+3.12vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+1.91vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.64+4.75vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83+0.89vs Predicted
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5Clemson University2.34+1.14vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College2.88-1.14vs Predicted
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73.41-3.51vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36-2.03vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.60+1.48vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College0.49+0.72vs Predicted
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11Auburn University1.12-1.78vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.11-0.54vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.18-1.09vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland0.68-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
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3.91College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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7.75Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
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4.89Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.1%1st Place
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6.14Clemson University2.340.1%1st Place
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4.86Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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3.493.410.2%1st Place
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5.97Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.1%1st Place
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10.48Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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10.72Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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9.22Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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11.46George Washington University0.110.0%1st Place
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11.91The Citadel-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 17.5% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roy Shaw | 21.6% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Weston | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 10.7% |
| Autumn Hoover | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 14.5% |
| Samuel Hodges | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
| Kaitlin Denny | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 26.1% |
| Donald Parker | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 19.5% | 36.8% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.