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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+2.98vs Predicted
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23.41+1.49vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36+2.98vs Predicted
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4Clemson University2.34+2.13vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College2.88-0.17vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.64+1.94vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-2.33vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.14-3.83vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland0.68+1.23vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.60+0.48vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-0.18+1.05vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College0.49-1.37vs Predicted
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13Auburn University1.12-3.93vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.11-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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3.493.410.2%1st Place
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5.98Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.1%1st Place
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6.13Clemson University2.340.1%1st Place
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4.83Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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7.94Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
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4.67Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.1%1st Place
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4.17Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
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10.23University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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10.48Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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12.05The Citadel-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.63Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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9.07Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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11.35George Washington University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 16.8% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roy Shaw | 21.5% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Weston | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 16.6% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 9.2% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 11.7% |
| Donald Parker | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 39.4% |
| Autumn Hoover | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 12.6% |
| Samuel Hodges | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Kaitlin Denny | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 21.9% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.