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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+5.12vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.04+3.64vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+0.94vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.09+1.64vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69+4.80vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.99+2.86vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.60+0.21vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10-1.37vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14-0.68vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-2.26vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-3.69vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.51-4.10vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13-0.82vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.52-2.06vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.49-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.6%1st Place
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5.64Brown University2.0411.1%1st Place
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3.94Yale University2.7121.0%1st Place
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5.64Boston College2.0910.4%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University0.692.7%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island0.994.3%1st Place
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7.21Dartmouth College1.606.3%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University2.108.2%1st Place
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8.32Boston University1.144.7%1st Place
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7.74Northeastern University1.225.9%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.6%1st Place
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7.9Bowdoin College1.515.5%1st Place
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12.18University of Vermont-0.131.2%1st Place
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11.94Connecticut College0.521.6%1st Place
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10.76Roger Williams University0.492.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.0% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 8.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 34.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 19.5% | 27.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.