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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+5.53vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+1.85vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.49+7.81vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.09+1.54vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.04+0.48vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.14+2.64vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.51vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+0.79vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.60-1.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-2.65vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.52+0.76vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.51-4.13vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.69-3.22vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-6.27vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Harvard University2.107.3%1st Place
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3.85Yale University2.7119.8%1st Place
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10.81Roger Williams University0.491.8%1st Place
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5.54Boston College2.0911.6%1st Place
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5.48Brown University2.0411.7%1st Place
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8.64Boston University1.143.5%1st Place
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6.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Rhode Island0.993.9%1st Place
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7.31Dartmouth College1.606.5%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.2%1st Place
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11.76Connecticut College0.521.8%1st Place
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7.87Bowdoin College1.515.9%1st Place
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9.78Tufts University0.693.1%1st Place
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7.73Northeastern University1.225.5%1st Place
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12.05University of Vermont-0.131.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.8% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 15.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.7% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 29.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 7.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 19.2% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.