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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+2.80vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+4.49vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+2.53vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.49+6.75vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.99+3.82vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+1.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.26vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.69+1.87vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.51-1.04vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-3.70vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-2.39vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.60-4.67vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.04-7.32vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.13-1.85vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.52-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Yale University2.7121.2%1st Place
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6.49Harvard University2.108.0%1st Place
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5.53Boston College2.0911.5%1st Place
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10.75Roger Williams University0.492.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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7.71Northeastern University1.226.2%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.0%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University0.693.1%1st Place
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7.96Bowdoin College1.515.3%1st Place
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6.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.1%1st Place
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8.61Boston University1.144.0%1st Place
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7.33Dartmouth College1.606.1%1st Place
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5.68Brown University2.0411.2%1st Place
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12.15University of Vermont-0.130.9%1st Place
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11.72Connecticut College0.521.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.2% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 15.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 18.4% | 33.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.