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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tyler Kennedy 12.3% 11.7% 13.2% 11.0% 11.1% 10.8% 9.9% 8.1% 5.8% 4.1% 1.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Melany Johnson 16.5% 15.5% 12.3% 13.7% 12.1% 10.2% 8.6% 5.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Lucas 15.6% 16.0% 11.9% 13.1% 12.5% 10.5% 8.5% 6.1% 4.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Russell Cramer 4.2% 5.0% 7.1% 7.8% 8.4% 8.1% 9.6% 12.7% 13.0% 12.4% 5.7% 4.5% 1.1% 0.4%
Roy Shaw 15.9% 19.3% 16.5% 15.0% 10.9% 8.6% 6.5% 3.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Autumn Hoover 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 1.7% 2.9% 4.4% 6.2% 8.2% 15.9% 19.8% 18.1% 16.7%
Harrison Cabiness 8.2% 7.5% 7.5% 8.1% 8.0% 13.1% 10.8% 9.8% 12.3% 7.9% 4.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Samuel Hodges 2.6% 1.5% 3.5% 2.8% 3.9% 4.7% 4.8% 7.5% 9.6% 14.7% 14.8% 13.8% 11.3% 4.5%
Kimannee Simon 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 1.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.6% 5.2% 5.0% 10.6% 16.7% 19.9% 18.7% 11.7%
Jonathan Atwood 11.1% 9.7% 10.9% 11.2% 12.7% 11.1% 11.8% 8.8% 6.5% 3.5% 2.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Kaitlin Denny 0.7% 0.5% 1.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 2.3% 2.9% 3.9% 8.0% 11.7% 15.8% 24.0% 26.0%
Donald Parker 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 2.2% 2.3% 5.2% 9.9% 13.7% 21.5% 38.8%
Andrew Battigaglia 3.9% 2.6% 4.3% 4.9% 4.8% 7.2% 8.1% 11.7% 13.9% 13.7% 11.5% 7.6% 4.1% 1.7%
Collin Weston 6.7% 8.1% 8.2% 7.9% 10.1% 8.9% 11.9% 11.8% 11.9% 7.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.