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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+5.32vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.76+8.52vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+0.68vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.09+1.40vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.04+0.50vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+0.15vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.13+4.96vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.60-1.09vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-1.92vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-2.47vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-2.88vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.52-0.45vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.54-2.79vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.49-3.47vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.99-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Harvard University2.109.0%1st Place
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10.52Bowdoin College0.762.5%1st Place
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3.68Yale University2.7121.9%1st Place
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5.4Boston College2.0910.5%1st Place
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5.5Brown University2.0411.7%1st Place
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6.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.4%1st Place
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11.96University of Vermont-0.131.5%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College1.606.6%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.8%1st Place
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7.53Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
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8.12Boston University1.145.0%1st Place
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11.55Connecticut College0.521.7%1st Place
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10.21Tufts University0.542.3%1st Place
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10.53Roger Williams University0.492.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 13.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.9% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 28.8% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 24.2% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.7% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.