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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College2.88+3.90vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+2.19vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland2.09+3.04vs Predicted
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53.41-1.20vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.49+5.07vs Predicted
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7Clemson University2.34-0.82vs Predicted
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8Auburn University1.12+1.40vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.60+1.76vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-5.85vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.11-0.31vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.18-0.81vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology1.64-5.84vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36-8.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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4.19Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
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4.24College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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7.04University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
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3.83.410.2%1st Place
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11.07Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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6.18Clemson University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.4Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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10.76Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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5.15Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.1%1st Place
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11.69George Washington University0.110.0%1st Place
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12.19The Citadel-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.16Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
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6.22Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Kennedy | 12.3% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 16.5% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 15.6% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Roy Shaw | 15.9% | 19.3% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Autumn Hoover | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 15.9% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 16.7% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Hodges | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 4.5% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 19.9% | 18.7% | 11.7% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlin Denny | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 24.0% | 26.0% |
| Donald Parker | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 21.5% | 38.8% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Collin Weston | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.