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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.60+5.98vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+5.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.04+2.53vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.09+1.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+2.04vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.10+0.38vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.71-3.16vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.69+1.58vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.76+1.68vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-1.38vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.89vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.14-3.72vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13-1.17vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.52-2.53vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.49-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Dartmouth College1.606.8%1st Place
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7.65Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
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5.53Brown University2.0411.4%1st Place
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5.44Boston College2.0911.7%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.2%1st Place
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6.38Harvard University2.107.5%1st Place
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3.84Yale University2.7122.1%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University0.692.9%1st Place
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10.68Bowdoin College0.762.6%1st Place
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8.62University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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6.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.5%1st Place
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8.28Boston University1.144.8%1st Place
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11.83University of Vermont-0.131.6%1st Place
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11.47Connecticut College0.521.7%1st Place
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10.57Roger Williams University0.492.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Eastman | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 22.1% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.3% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 15.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 29.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 24.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.