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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+5.35vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.60+4.97vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+4.11vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.09+1.41vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.71-1.26vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+1.48vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.04-1.59vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-1.60vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.49+1.58vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-1.87vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-2.26vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.69-2.45vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.76-2.43vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.52-2.49vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Harvard University2.108.2%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College1.607.2%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.9%1st Place
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5.41Boston College2.0911.3%1st Place
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3.74Yale University2.7120.7%1st Place
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7.48Northeastern University1.226.8%1st Place
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5.41Brown University2.0411.8%1st Place
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6.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.6%1st Place
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10.58Roger Williams University0.492.1%1st Place
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8.13Boston University1.145.3%1st Place
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8.74University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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9.55Tufts University0.693.5%1st Place
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10.57Bowdoin College0.761.5%1st Place
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11.51Connecticut College0.521.5%1st Place
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12.05University of Vermont-0.131.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 20.7% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 13.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 6.5% |
| Christine Reimer | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 14.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 24.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.