Race 10A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Mia Nicolosi 21.9% 17.8% 15.4% 12.5% 9.4% 8.4% 5.0% 4.2% 2.5% 1.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Sibilly 10.8% 10.0% 12.2% 11.3% 10.4% 10.3% 9.3% 6.3% 6.7% 5.1% 3.7% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Brielle Willoughby 10.3% 11.5% 11.2% 10.7% 9.8% 9.4% 8.2% 8.2% 6.8% 5.5% 4.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Eva Ermlich 6.3% 7.1% 7.2% 6.6% 6.8% 6.7% 6.8% 8.8% 8.6% 9.1% 8.1% 7.4% 6.4% 2.8% 1.4%
Brooke Schmelz 9.7% 9.0% 9.4% 10.2% 10.0% 8.9% 8.5% 8.2% 7.5% 6.6% 5.0% 3.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4%
Taylor Eastman 6.7% 6.2% 8.2% 8.6% 8.6% 7.4% 10.0% 7.5% 8.9% 8.2% 6.2% 5.8% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7%
Cordelia Burn 9.0% 8.7% 8.2% 8.6% 8.9% 8.3% 9.0% 8.2% 8.3% 7.6% 5.7% 4.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
Samantha Jensen 2.7% 3.8% 4.3% 4.1% 5.1% 5.1% 4.7% 5.4% 7.0% 9.5% 9.4% 9.9% 11.5% 10.1% 7.5%
Tiare Sierra 5.4% 6.2% 4.4% 5.2% 6.5% 7.7% 6.6% 7.2% 7.3% 8.8% 9.6% 9.5% 7.5% 5.7% 2.3%
Kytalin Hendrickson 4.4% 4.5% 4.5% 5.5% 5.9% 6.2% 6.6% 8.1% 7.1% 7.6% 9.3% 9.6% 9.4% 7.4% 3.6%
Katherine McGagh 2.2% 2.8% 2.6% 2.6% 3.1% 3.5% 4.7% 5.9% 6.0% 6.0% 8.9% 10.2% 13.0% 15.7% 12.7%
Christine Reimer 2.1% 2.6% 2.5% 2.1% 3.7% 4.6% 4.5% 6.0% 5.2% 6.6% 8.1% 10.0% 13.0% 14.5% 14.6%
Emily Bornarth 5.9% 6.6% 6.3% 7.8% 7.6% 8.9% 9.2% 9.0% 8.6% 8.2% 7.4% 5.9% 5.0% 2.5% 1.1%
Izzy Wu-Karr 1.5% 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 2.1% 2.5% 4.2% 3.5% 5.5% 4.5% 7.5% 10.1% 11.5% 16.4% 24.1%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 3.5% 4.0% 5.2% 5.9% 9.2% 9.8% 19.1% 30.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.