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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+2.66vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.69vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.31+1.14vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.64+1.88vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+2.79vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.63-2.57vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.83+0.74vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.65+0.23vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.75-3.63vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.58-1.57vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-4.14vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.05-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
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6.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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4.14University of Vermont3.310.2%1st Place
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5.88Roger Williams University2.640.1%1st Place
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7.79Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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3.43Boston University3.630.2%1st Place
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7.74University of Vermont1.830.0%1st Place
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8.23University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
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5.37Tufts University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.1%1st Place
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9.77McGill University1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 19.8% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Field | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Connor Aswad | 16.7% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eric Schwarm | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Sam Millham | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.6% |
| Daniel Perkins | 22.4% | 20.2% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alden Winder | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 9.4% |
| Christopher Edwards | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 14.0% |
| James Altreuter | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Tom Charpentier | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 16.4% |
| Tevis Nichols | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| Emerson Krock | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.