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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+3.00vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.09+3.58vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.99+6.00vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.49vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+1.54vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.51+1.98vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.56vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22-0.33vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.04-3.37vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-1.36vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.87-4.89vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.13+0.15vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.49-2.08vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.69-4.10vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.52-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Yale University2.7118.8%1st Place
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5.58Boston College2.0911.2%1st Place
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9.0University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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6.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.2%1st Place
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6.54Harvard University2.108.6%1st Place
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7.98Bowdoin College1.515.1%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.6%1st Place
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7.67Northeastern University1.224.9%1st Place
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5.63Brown University2.0410.9%1st Place
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8.64Boston University1.144.5%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College1.879.3%1st Place
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12.15University of Vermont-0.131.5%1st Place
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10.92Roger Williams University0.492.4%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University0.693.5%1st Place
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11.81Connecticut College0.520.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.8% | 18.4% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.2% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 31.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 15.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.