← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.33+1.93vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.44+0.77vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University2.16+2.31vs Predicted
-
4Georgia Institute of Technology1.57+2.72vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.93-1.37vs Predicted
-
6Auburn University0.63+2.98vs Predicted
-
7The Citadel0.42+2.43vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University at Galveston1.77-1.90vs Predicted
-
9Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89-0.54vs Predicted
-
10University of Maryland0.80-1.41vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University1.24-3.62vs Predicted
-
12Hampton University-0.68-0.37vs Predicted
-
13Ocean County College0.69-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.93College of Charleston3.330.3%1st Place
-
2.77College of Charleston3.440.3%1st Place
-
5.31Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
-
6.72Georgia Institute of Technology1.570.0%1st Place
-
3.63College of Charleston2.930.2%1st Place
-
8.98Auburn University0.630.0%1st Place
-
9.43The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
-
6.1Texas A&M University at Galveston1.770.1%1st Place
-
8.46Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.0%1st Place
-
8.59University of Maryland0.800.0%1st Place
-
7.38George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
-
11.63Hampton University-0.680.0%1st Place
-
9.06Ocean County College0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Sands | 26.8% | 20.4% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooks Clark | 28.4% | 25.4% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Lisicki | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| AROLDO DE RIENZO | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Kayla Gibson | 17.8% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Wallace | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 7.5% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 20.7% | 11.6% |
| Coleman Terrell | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Chong | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 5.7% |
| Yusuf Hafez | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 6.9% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Hykeem Gaddis | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 14.5% | 57.4% |
| Kyle Donnelly | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.