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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+5.58vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+5.51vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.53vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.87+2.24vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.04+0.70vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.69+3.92vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.71-3.11vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22-0.04vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.49+1.80vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-1.45vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.09-5.32vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.51-4.03vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.99-4.19vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.13-1.91vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.52-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Harvard University2.107.6%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.5%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.7%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College1.879.7%1st Place
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5.7Brown University2.049.8%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University0.692.9%1st Place
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3.89Yale University2.7120.1%1st Place
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7.96Northeastern University1.225.3%1st Place
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10.8Roger Williams University0.492.5%1st Place
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8.55Boston University1.144.3%1st Place
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5.68Boston College2.0910.7%1st Place
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7.97Bowdoin College1.515.7%1st Place
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8.81University of Rhode Island0.994.3%1st Place
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12.09University of Vermont-0.131.2%1st Place
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11.76Connecticut College0.521.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 9.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 20.1% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 15.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 17.5% | 33.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.