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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+2.96vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+5.45vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+2.59vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+4.85vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.87+1.35vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.10+0.70vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.14+1.53vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22-0.15vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.04-3.10vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-3.62vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.51-3.17vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.69-2.25vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.49-2.02vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.13-1.77vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.52-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Yale University2.7119.6%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.7%1st Place
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5.59Boston College2.0911.3%1st Place
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8.85University of Rhode Island0.994.3%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College1.879.8%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University2.106.7%1st Place
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8.53Boston University1.144.0%1st Place
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7.85Northeastern University1.226.0%1st Place
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5.9Brown University2.049.5%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.9%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College1.515.6%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University0.693.9%1st Place
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10.98Roger Williams University0.492.2%1st Place
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12.23University of Vermont-0.130.9%1st Place
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11.68Connecticut College0.521.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.6% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 7.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 16.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 33.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.