← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.33+1.92vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.44+0.75vs Predicted
-
3Georgia Institute of Technology1.57+3.82vs Predicted
-
4Texas A&M University at Galveston1.77+2.20vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.93-1.40vs Predicted
-
6Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89+2.31vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University1.24+0.42vs Predicted
-
8University of Maryland0.80+0.56vs Predicted
-
9Ocean County College0.69-0.06vs Predicted
-
10The Citadel0.42-0.50vs Predicted
-
11Auburn University0.63-2.14vs Predicted
-
13Clemson University2.16-7.58vs Predicted
-
14Hampton University-0.68-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.92College of Charleston3.330.3%1st Place
-
2.75College of Charleston3.440.3%1st Place
-
6.82Georgia Institute of Technology1.570.0%1st Place
-
6.2Texas A&M University at Galveston1.770.0%1st Place
-
3.6College of Charleston2.930.2%1st Place
-
8.31Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.0%1st Place
-
7.42George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
-
8.56University of Maryland0.800.0%1st Place
-
8.94Ocean County College0.690.0%1st Place
-
9.5The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
-
8.86Auburn University0.630.0%1st Place
-
5.42Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
-
11.7Hampton University-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Sands | 26.0% | 23.1% | 18.3% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooks Clark | 28.5% | 25.2% | 19.0% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AROLDO DE RIENZO | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Coleman Terrell | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Kayla Gibson | 17.5% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Chong | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 3.7% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Yusuf Hafez | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 4.5% |
| Kyle Donnelly | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 7.9% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 14.1% |
| Wesley Wallace | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 7.6% |
| Drew Lisicki | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Hykeem Gaddis | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.