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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.04+4.67vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+5.45vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+0.92vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.36vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+1.78vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.87+0.19vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.09-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+0.96vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.52+2.84vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-2.21vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.49-0.23vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.51-3.99vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.69-3.16vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.14-5.29vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Brown University2.049.8%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.1%1st Place
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3.92Yale University2.7121.1%1st Place
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6.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.0%1st Place
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6.78Harvard University2.108.5%1st Place
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6.19Dartmouth College1.878.9%1st Place
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5.63Boston College2.0910.5%1st Place
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8.96University of Rhode Island0.993.9%1st Place
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11.84Connecticut College0.521.0%1st Place
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7.79Northeastern University1.225.0%1st Place
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10.77Roger Williams University0.492.3%1st Place
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8.01Bowdoin College1.514.8%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University0.692.6%1st Place
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8.71Boston University1.144.2%1st Place
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12.09University of Vermont-0.131.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.1% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 3.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 28.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 15.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 8.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.