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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.40+4.86vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+4.86vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.49vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+4.45vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99-0.13vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.84-0.34vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.10-1.28vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.79+0.12vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.93-0.70vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.37-0.29vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.97-5.93vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-3.85vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-3.16vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Boston College2.4011.4%1st Place
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6.86Harvard University1.907.5%1st Place
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4.49Yale University2.5515.2%1st Place
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6.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.8%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.6%1st Place
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5.87Brown University1.9911.1%1st Place
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6.66Bowdoin College1.848.6%1st Place
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6.72Dartmouth College2.108.9%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island0.793.8%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University0.933.4%1st Place
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10.71Boston University0.372.1%1st Place
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6.07Roger Williams University1.978.2%1st Place
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9.15Northeastern University1.184.1%1st Place
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10.84University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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12.16Connecticut College-0.131.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.2% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Young | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 14.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 17.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.