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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.90+5.71vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+6.45vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93+5.19vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.99+0.87vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.40-0.01vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.97-1.07vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.55-3.71vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.37+1.89vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.10-3.21vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.84-4.08vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-2.90vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.79-4.00vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-3.27vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Harvard University1.908.4%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.7%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.8%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University0.933.8%1st Place
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5.87Brown University1.9910.9%1st Place
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5.99Boston College2.4010.3%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University1.9710.5%1st Place
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4.29Yale University2.5518.2%1st Place
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10.89Boston University0.372.5%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College2.107.2%1st Place
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6.92Bowdoin College1.846.7%1st Place
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9.1Northeastern University1.183.8%1st Place
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9.0University of Rhode Island0.793.6%1st Place
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10.73University of Vermont0.481.9%1st Place
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12.21Connecticut College-0.131.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.2% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 16.5% |
| Sarah Young | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 15.6% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.