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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.28vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.10+4.70vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+3.80vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93+4.89vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.40+0.89vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+3.18vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48+3.76vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+0.87vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.84-2.25vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.97-4.02vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-4.32vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.37-1.39vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.79-4.02vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.99-8.19vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-1.05-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Yale University2.5517.6%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College2.107.5%1st Place
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6.8Harvard University1.907.8%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University0.934.3%1st Place
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5.89Boston College2.409.2%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.9%1st Place
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10.76University of Vermont0.482.4%1st Place
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8.87Northeastern University1.184.2%1st Place
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6.75Bowdoin College1.847.4%1st Place
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5.98Roger Williams University1.979.6%1st Place
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6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.9%1st Place
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10.61Boston University0.372.5%1st Place
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8.98University of Rhode Island0.794.8%1st Place
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5.81Brown University1.9910.5%1st Place
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13.81Connecticut College-1.050.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 17.6% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 21.1% | 10.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 2.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 20.2% | 9.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 3.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Viola Henry | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 12.3% | 66.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.