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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+5.74vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+4.63vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.26vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93+4.89vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.40+0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.79+2.92vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.99-1.13vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.10-1.18vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.90-2.31vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.97-3.96vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-2.02vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.37-1.45vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-3.82vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-3.22vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-1.05-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.5%1st Place
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6.63Bowdoin College1.847.0%1st Place
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4.26Yale University2.5518.1%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University0.934.7%1st Place
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5.82Boston College2.4010.3%1st Place
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8.92University of Rhode Island0.793.9%1st Place
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5.87Brown University1.9911.0%1st Place
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6.82Dartmouth College2.107.8%1st Place
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6.69Harvard University1.907.8%1st Place
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6.04Roger Williams University1.979.6%1st Place
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8.98Northeastern University1.183.8%1st Place
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10.55Boston University0.372.2%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont0.481.8%1st Place
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13.83Connecticut College-1.050.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.1% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 2.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 2.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 2.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 10.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 3.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 22.4% | 8.9% |
| Viola Henry | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 12.3% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.