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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+5.66vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.79+6.14vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+5.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.93+4.11vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.84+0.67vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.97-1.01vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.99-2.16vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.10-2.22vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.40-4.21vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-1.93vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.90-5.23vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.37-2.47vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-3.23vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-1.05-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.5%1st Place
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4.16Yale University2.5518.6%1st Place
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9.14University of Rhode Island0.793.6%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.8%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University0.933.0%1st Place
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6.67Bowdoin College1.847.6%1st Place
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5.99Roger Williams University1.9710.7%1st Place
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5.84Brown University1.9910.2%1st Place
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6.78Dartmouth College2.107.0%1st Place
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5.79Boston College2.4010.4%1st Place
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9.07Northeastern University1.183.6%1st Place
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6.77Harvard University1.908.8%1st Place
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10.53Boston University0.372.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Vermont0.481.7%1st Place
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13.7Connecticut College-1.050.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.6% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 8.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 20.8% | 9.5% |
| Viola Henry | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 11.3% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.