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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+4.85vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.70vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.97+2.90vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+5.07vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.79+4.04vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.40-0.17vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.90-0.23vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.93+1.18vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.84-2.15vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.55-5.80vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.37-0.74vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-2.88vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-2.30vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College-1.05-0.19vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.10-8.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Brown University1.9910.2%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.3%1st Place
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5.9Roger Williams University1.9710.0%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.9%1st Place
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9.04University of Rhode Island0.794.2%1st Place
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5.83Boston College2.4011.3%1st Place
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6.77Harvard University1.907.1%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University0.933.0%1st Place
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6.85Bowdoin College1.848.0%1st Place
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4.2Yale University2.5518.9%1st Place
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10.26Boston University0.372.1%1st Place
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9.12Northeastern University1.183.2%1st Place
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10.7University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
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13.81Connecticut College-1.050.2%1st Place
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6.74Dartmouth College2.107.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Leah Rickard | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 3.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.9% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 8.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 21.5% | 9.8% |
| Viola Henry | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 12.8% | 65.8% |
| Sarah Young | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.