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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13+0.66vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.86+0.16vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+2.88vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+2.49vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.84+0.12vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.90-0.53vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.41-1.54vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California-1.60-0.90vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.41-2.46vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.72-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1357.8%1st Place
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3.76University of California at Santa Cruz0.8610.9%1st Place
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3.16University of California at Berkeley0.8615.0%1st Place
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6.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.9%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Los Angeles-1.092.0%1st Place
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6.12University of California at Berkeley-0.842.9%1st Place
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6.47University of California at San Diego-0.902.8%1st Place
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6.46Arizona State University-0.412.9%1st Place
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8.1University of Southern California-1.601.1%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Davis-1.411.2%1st Place
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8.37Arizona State University-1.721.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Headington | 57.8% | 25.9% | 11.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 10.9% | 18.1% | 20.9% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carsten Zieger | 15.0% | 24.3% | 23.2% | 18.4% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.9% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% |
| Liam Williams | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 13.4% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% |
| Alex Tang | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 22.4% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 14.0% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.