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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+2.70vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.70vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.31+1.15vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+3.77vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.63-1.52vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.75-0.49vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.64-1.30vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.65+0.26vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-2.47vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.58-1.58vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.05-1.18vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.83-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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4.15University of Vermont3.310.2%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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3.48Boston University3.630.2%1st Place
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5.51Tufts University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.7Roger Williams University2.640.1%1st Place
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8.26University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.1%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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9.82McGill University1.050.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Vermont1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 19.9% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charles Field | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Connor Aswad | 15.7% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sam Millham | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% |
| Daniel Perkins | 21.9% | 21.3% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Altreuter | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Eric Schwarm | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Edwards | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 15.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Tom Charpentier | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 15.6% |
| Emerson Krock | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 17.8% | 39.8% |
| Alden Winder | 3.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.